Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.566566 0.643489 0.725714 0.819995 0.924960 1.038074 1.169036
2025-08-10 0.441797 0.546822 0.667582 0.816078 0.993094 1.196649 1.447695
2025-08-17 0.352591 0.473234 0.621720 0.816398 1.063206 1.363821 1.755597
2025-08-24 0.287682 0.416906 0.586431 0.822238 1.138387 1.543805 2.098541
2025-08-31 0.233586 0.364428 0.546829 0.815027 1.193686 1.702616 2.430249
2025-09-07 0.197828 0.330605 0.526379 0.829162 1.276980 1.904476 2.836895
2025-09-14 0.163660 0.292632 0.493474 0.819563 1.323611 2.058095 3.189351
2025-09-21 0.140699 0.267938 0.476343 0.830059 1.399019 2.257588 3.622624
2025-09-28 0.117370 0.238154 0.446206 0.815123 1.432046 2.394986 3.973290
2025-10-05 0.105959 0.227300 0.445678 0.847765 1.542787 2.659033 4.535917
2025-10-12 0.096057 0.217380 0.445047 0.879419 1.653882 2.931138 5.129952
2025-10-19 0.084642 0.202310 0.432679 0.888202 1.725836 3.143963 5.642475
2025-10-26 0.073737 0.186446 0.416861 0.889244 1.785180 3.342096 6.148675
2025-11-02 0.063995 0.171188 0.399949 0.885913 1.835845 3.528810 6.648654
2025-11-09 0.056058 0.158432 0.386196 0.886826 1.893937 3.732152 7.190559
2025-11-16 0.049688 0.148110 0.376011 0.893481 1.963092 3.959603 7.789168
2025-11-23 0.043186 0.136043 0.360092 0.885957 2.003192 4.136122 8.307323
2025-11-30 0.039029 0.129259 0.355178 0.901332 2.090223 4.405394 9.010368
2025-12-07 0.033929 0.118702 0.339661 0.891097 2.123107 4.573354 9.535210
2025-12-14 0.030609 0.112545 0.333964 0.902465 2.202192 4.835561 10.252793
2025-12-21 0.026439 0.102777 0.317523 0.886422 2.220281 4.978002 10.748631
2025-12-28 0.024915 0.101096 0.322086 0.921601 2.354233 5.361450 11.734887
2026-01-04 0.023453 0.099298 0.326061 0.955697 2.488403 5.753311 12.758572